The process of urban growth and development in the past decades has been strongly influenced by the approach of political economy. In Iran, urban development has been formed as an exogenous phenomenon based on the growth of services, which is by no means a continuation of its historical urbanization (before 1920) but a dynamic imposed from outside and the product of unequal economic and social relations with industrialized countries alongside of future's decisions as a catalyst. It is tomorrow. In the present research, which has been done using an analytical method and a quantitative approach, the effect of sanctions on the housing sector between 2006 and 2017 has been investigated. To explain the research model, five categories of political, economic, institutional, social and physical factors were considered. Moreover, using spatial econometric models with three types of cross-sectional data, time series and integrated data were studied. Due to the lack of access and lack of sufficient information in the statistical period, regarding the studied indicators, in first step, the cities of provincial capitals and then the cities of the 2nd and 3rd degree districts were evaluated. Furthermore, based on cities data, the housing price growth model was analyzed using the spatial error model. Due to the variance heterogeneity in this model, KP-HET estimator is used. The results of survey indicate that existence of spatial effects of sanctions on housing price growth in the cities of Iran during the study period. As among the economic variables; Poverty index, unemployment rate and specialization, and among the social variables, migration rate, general fertility rate and active population were considered as the most important factors affecting housing price growth. These variables have been both a cause and a consequence of the disorganization of a coherent pattern of price growth in later periods.
Type of Study:
Research |
Subject:
Special Received: 2021/08/16 | Accepted: 2021/12/16 | Published: 2023/11/1 | ePublished: 2023/11/1